Building your daily plan
There are usually 15 MLB games on a given day, but only a handful are worth your money. Building a daily plan is about picking your spots, sizing them sensibly and — hardest of all — knowing when to pass.
Related bets can hurt you together
Some bets move together. If you bet a heavy favorite on the moneyline AND the over, you're really betting 'the favorite wins big' twice. When you're wrong, you lose both. Before stacking bets, ask whether they're connected — if they are, you've made one bigger bet, not two safe ones.
Size by how confident you are
Not every bet deserves the same stake. A high-confidence pick at a great price deserves more than a marginal one. A simple rule: keep a base unit, and bet more only when both the model's confidence AND the price advantage are clearly good. The goal is to put your money where your edge is biggest.
The hardest skill: passing
If a price is barely better than fair, the bet isn't worth the risk. A tiny edge on one game adds almost nothing to your year but adds full variance to your week. Professional bettors pass on most games — they bet only when the price advantage is worth the risk. Learning to say no is a real skill, and it protects your bankroll.